{"product_id":"everything-is-predictable","title":"Everything Is Predictable","description":"\u003cp data-start=\"370\" data-end=\"386\"\u003e\u003cstrong data-start=\"370\" data-end=\"386\"\u003eBOOK SUMMARY\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-start=\"388\" data-end=\"586\"\u003eA “fascinating, witty, and perspective-shifting” tour of Bayes’s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of \u003cem data-start=\"546\" data-end=\"585\"\u003eThe Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy\u003c\/em\u003e.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-start=\"588\" data-end=\"995\"\u003eAt its simplest, Bayes’s theorem describes the probability of an event based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in \u003cem data-start=\"741\" data-end=\"768\"\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/em\u003e, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for probability in court has put innocent people in jail.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-start=\"997\" data-end=\"1017\"\u003e\u003cstrong data-start=\"997\" data-end=\"1017\"\u003eABOUT THE AUTHOR\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-start=\"1019\" data-end=\"1307\"\u003eTom Chivers is an author and the award-winning science writer for Semafor. His writing has appeared in The Times (London), The Guardian, New Scientist, Wired, CNN, and more. His books include \u003cem data-start=\"1211\" data-end=\"1238\"\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/em\u003e, \u003cem data-start=\"1240\" data-end=\"1279\"\u003eThe Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy\u003c\/em\u003e, and \u003cem data-start=\"1285\" data-end=\"1306\"\u003eHow to Read Numbers\u003c\/em\u003e.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-start=\"1309\" data-end=\"1319\"\u003e\u003cstrong data-start=\"1309\" data-end=\"1319\"\u003ePRAISE\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-start=\"1321\" data-end=\"1422\"\u003e“Fascinating, witty, and perspective-shifting.”\u003cbr data-start=\"1368\" data-end=\"1371\"\u003e—Oliver Burkeman, New York Times bestselling author\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-start=\"1424\" data-end=\"1527\"\u003e“Witty, lively, and best of all, extremely nerdy.”\u003cbr data-start=\"1474\" data-end=\"1477\"\u003e—Tim Harford, author of \u003cem data-start=\"1501\" data-end=\"1527\"\u003eThe Undercover Economist\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-start=\"1529\" data-end=\"1552\"\u003e\u003cstrong data-start=\"1529\" data-end=\"1552\"\u003ePRODUCT INFORMATION\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp data-start=\"1554\" data-end=\"1635\"\u003eTrade paperback\u003cbr data-start=\"1569\" data-end=\"1572\"\u003e384 pages\u003cbr data-start=\"1581\" data-end=\"1584\"\u003eNon-fiction\u003cbr data-start=\"1595\" data-end=\"1598\"\u003e8.4 in H | 5.5 in W | 1 in T | 0.6 lb\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Posman Books","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46144104202439,"sku":null,"price":19.99,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0662\/3277\/8951\/files\/everything-is-predictable-6879441.jpg?v=1774628591","url":"https:\/\/posmanbooks.com\/products\/everything-is-predictable","provider":"Posman Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}